Paleoclimate scientist Glikson: Cut carbon emissions 80% by 2020 to avoid catastrophe
The world must cut carbon emissions by 80% by 2020 to avert catastrophe, according to paleoclimate scientist Dr Dr Andrew Glikson (Australian National University) in an interview broadcast by Radio Australia (for the interview see "Carbon emissions must be cut by 80 percent [by 2020]: scientist") .
This expert opinion telescopes the time frame for requisitely dealing with the worsening climate disruption, climate emergency and climate genocide from half a century to a decade.
Dr Andrew Glikson is an Earth and paleoclimate scientist, Visiting Fellow, School of Archaeology and Anthropology, Research School of Earth Science and Institute of Planetary Science, Australian National University (ANU), Canberra, ACT, Australia.
Dr Andrew Glikson interviewed by taxpayer-funded Australian Broadcasting Corporation (ABC) Radio Australia, 2009, in response to the question â€what has to be done?â€ stated (in part):
Dr Gliksonâ€™s plea is consonant with the dire views of Professor Kevin Anderson and Dr Alice Bows, climate scientists at the prestigious Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research, University of Manchester, UK.
Professor Kevin Anderson and Dr Alice Bows, in a key paper in the prestigious Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society, 2008, stated:
Indeed Dr Gliksonâ€™s interpretation of the data of Anderson and Bows is â€œThe ocean/atmosphere system is fast tracking to conditions similar to those of an ice-free earth .. [we need] Urgent deep reductions in carbon emissions, on the scale of at last 5% per year, relative to 1990 â€¦ The alternative to urgent fast tracked mitigation efforts does not bear contemplationâ€ (see Andrew Glikson, â€œ21st century carbon blueprints: perspective from the recent history of the atmosphereâ€, July 2009 â€“ to see this and a related expertly written power point lecture scroll down at â€œDr Andrew Glikson: earth and paleoclimate scientist: reduce GHG emissions by 80% by 2020â€).
A laypersonâ€™s take on what Dr Glikson is saying is provided by the ABC (Australian Broadcasting Corporation) summary of the interview with Dr Andrew Glikson: "Despite urgent global warming warnings, there's little hope that December's Copenhagen climate change meeting will secure an international agreement. Even domestic measures are subject to bitter politics and trade-offs, like the Australian government's plans to cut emissions by five-to-15 per cent by the year 2020. Even if such measures did pass, one expert [Dr Glikson] says it'd be like giving aspirin to a cancer patient. He says nothing less than 80 per cent emissions cuts over the next ten years will avert catastrophe".
Dr Gliksonâ€™s dire warning is consonant with warnings from other climate change analysts .For a compilation of such opinions see the website â€œCut carbon emissions 80% by 2020â€.
Thus Sam Caranaâ€™s Change Our World, 2008 says: â€œJames Hansen, NASA's top climate scientist, says in "Target CO2: Where Should Humanity Aim?" (see Target CO2: Where Should Humanity Aim? ) that the EU target of 550 parts per million (ppm) of CO2 - the most stringent in the world - was not good enough, as this would cause the world to warm by 6C, rather than the previous estimate of just 3C. Hansen says targets should be slashed to 350 ppm â€¦ As the Environmental Protection Agency's inventory of U.S. Greenhouse Gas Emissions and Sinks 1990-2005 (see: inventory of U.S. Greenhouse Gas Emissions and Sinks: 1990-2005 ) shows, well over 80% of US emissions are caused by fossil fuel - the mining of fossil fuel and burning it in power plants and in transportation. So, if we switched to electric vehicles over a period of a dozen years and to electricity produced in clean and safe ways, such as with wind and solar power, this would achieve an 80% cut by 2020 â€œ (see: Sam Carana, â€œReduce emissions by 80% by 2020, Symptoms of global warmingâ€, Change Our World, 2008).
The prestigious Earth Policy Institute (EPI) is an environmental organization founded in 2001 by Lester R. Brown, based in Washington, D.C., U.S.A., and dedicated to building a sustainable future and informing the public about climate change, population expansion, mass species extinction and other threats impacting upon Humanity (see Wikipedia and Earth Policy Institute).
Thus Lester R. Brown and colleagues, â€œTime for Plan B. Cutting emissions 80 percent by 2020â€:
Even big business has wised up to the realities. Thus British Telecom (BT) is the major UK telecommunications company (see Wikipedia). According to Earth2tech, 2 June 2008: â€œBritish Telecom (BT) said today it plans to reduce its carbon emissions 80 percent by 2020. The UK-based incumbent telecom operator is already on its way to meeting that aggressive target, and last October said it would invest close to half a billion dollars in wind farms that could supply close to 25 percent of the companyâ€™s power needs by 2016. That was the largest investment in renewable power by a non-power company in the UK ... BT also says the company has created a new tool called the Climate Stabilisation Intensity (CSI) Target to measure and track carbon emissionsâ€ (Katie Fehrenbacher, Earth2tech, â€œBritish Telecom (BT) to cut carbon emissions 80 percent by 2020â€, 2 June 2008).
In horrible contrast to these expert views that we must â€œreduce carbon emissions by 80% by 2020â€, world governments talk of a notional â€œ80% off 2000 GHG emissions by 2050â€ but mostly, as predicted by Drs Anderson and Bows, show no sign of taking anything like the requisite steps.
Thus, for example, climate criminal Australia is the worldâ€™s biggest coal exporter and is a world leader in GHG pollution on a per capita basis. As of 2008, â€œannual per capita greenhouse gas (GHG) pollutionâ€ in units of â€œtonnes CO2-equivalent per person per yearâ€ (2005-2008 data) is 0.9 (Bangladesh), 2.2 (India), 5.5 (China), 6.7 (the World), 11 (Europe), 27 (the US) and 30 (Australia; or 54 if Australiaâ€™s huge Exported CO2 pollution is included (see Wikipedia, â€œList of countries by greenhouse gas emissions per capitaâ€).
However climate criminal Australia has offered a derisory â€œ5% off 2000 GHG pollution by 2020â€ andâ€60% off 2000 GHG pollution by 2050â€, these offerings IGNORING Australiaâ€™s enormous annual Exported GHG pollution that is about half of the total annual Domestic and Exported GHG pollution of Australia (see â€œAustraliaâ€™s â€œ5% off 2000 GHG pollution by 2020â€ endangers Australia, Humanity and the Biosphereâ€œ).
We are running out of time â€“ so what can decent folk do in the face of greedy, corrupt, climate racist, climate genocidal, climate criminal intransigence?
Peace is the only way but silence kills and silence is complicity. In the words of Dr Andrew Glikson, informed people are now staring into â€œthe abyssâ€. Decent, responsible people must (a) inform everyone they can and ( advocate intra-national and international sanctions, boycotts, green tariffs, reparations demands and criminal prosecutions against people, corporations and countries (notably climate Australia) complicit in the worsening climate disruption, climate emergency and climate genocide that is predicted to kill 10 billion people this century.